Day 1 of the 2010 National Handicapping Tournament
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 12:43 PM EST
in Handicapping Tournaments
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PrintI'm going to use this post to follow the tracks and races involved in the first day of the NHC in Las Vegas. In addition to the eight mandatory plays, players can play seven optional plays from the same tracks (Aqueduct, Gulfstream, Laurel, Fair Grounds, Santa Anita, and Golden Gate).
So far, the weather looks good at all the tracks; fast and firm.
UPDATE #1: The mandatory plays for Saturday were just released, featuring a turf sprint at Gulfstream, along with two races from the Sunshine Millions - the Filly and Mare Sprint and the Classic.
UPDATE #2: Link to the leaderboard.
UPDATE #3: The first day leader, Brian Troop, finished with a score of $232.60, a single day record at the NHC. He's about $80 ahead of the the 2nd place player.
|
Track |
Race |
Condition |
Distance |
|
Gulfstream |
4 |
$30K Claiming, 4up, F&M |
1 1/16 miles (T) |
|
Gulfstream |
5 |
$32K Claiming, 4up |
5 furlongs (T) |
|
Aqueduct |
8 |
$7.5K Claiming, 4up, F&M |
6 furlongs |
|
Gulfstream |
7 |
Alw N2L, 4up, F&M |
1 1/16 miles (T) |
|
Fair Grounds |
8 |
$20K Clm, LA bred, 4up |
1 mile 40 yds |
|
Santa Anita |
6 |
SunshineMillions F&M Sprint |
6 furlongs |
|
Golden Gate |
6 |
$4K Claiming, 4up |
1 1/16 miles |
|
Santa Anita |
8 |
SunshineMillions Classic |
1 1/8 miles |
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First big price of the day...
comes from race 1 at Aqueduct. The 4 horse wins to pay $37.70.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Um, a rather large payout in the first at Laurel
$139.80 to win and $41.80 to place for the winner, the 7. Those are some serious prices. Anyone that had that horse in the tournament will have those payouts capped at $40.00 and $20.00. Still, that’s some serious cash.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Laurel kicks out another decent price
The 3 pays 18.60 and 6.80 in race 4.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 2:09 PM EST up reply actions
And now Gulfstream gets into the act..
22.00 and 7.40 for the 2 in race 3.
I suspect when the first leaderboard is shown we’ll see several big numbers up top. Of course, all of these prices would be in optional races which can skew early returns.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 2:27 PM EST up reply actions
The first mandatory play of the day is coming up
The 4th at GP has a field of 12…4 the fav. at 9/5 right now.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Jill Byrne interviewed Mike Watchmatker from the DRF on Twinspires.com
He’s on the committee that selects the mandatory races. Interesting take on the process.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
93/1 on the place horse at Fair Grounds...
interesting.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
The place horse paid $33.00...
another cap horse.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 2:57 PM EST up reply actions
big price in the 8th at AQU
32.40 and 11.20 for the 4.
These longshots at AQU and Laurel have got to be making the players that specialize in east coast tracks very happy.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
And another big one at Laurel...
That’s three very nice price horses at Laurel today.
21.40 and 7.40 on the 3 in the 7th.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 3:44 PM EST up reply actions
First flash of the leaderboard...
The leader is almost $20 up on the 2nd place player. Obviously, he must have hit at least one of those bombs at Laurel, Aqu, or FG.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
was just about to ask
if they have a leaderboard or anything.
are you fake handicapping the mandatory races as a test to see how you’d be doing?
www.nwfan.com
Nah, I'm going to look at them tomorrow...
but didn’t get a chance to look at the Form for the mandatory races today. Just following the prices today.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 4:18 PM EST up reply actions
Don't know who won the 9th at AQU..
but it wasn’t the 3/5 favorite. Three horse photo and it looks like the 9 at 18/1 might have gotten up…another big price at Aqueduct if it holds.
The players that used their optionals for the east coast tracks might have a big day 1 edge on anybody saving their bullets for the west coast plays.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Prices just keep rollin' in...
the place horse at Gulfstream paid 32.00…
The 9 at AQU pays 39.60 and 10.60…..
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 4:26 PM EST up reply actions
I missed the first at Santa Anita...and it paid big
Winner, the 1, pays 15.20 and 8.20. Place horse paid 61.00…so another capped place horse. That’s three today by my count.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 4:29 PM EST up reply actions
The 9 at AQU triggered a Pick 6 carryover of 28,528
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 4:32 PM EST up reply actions
The 3rd mandatory race of the day about to go off at Laurel
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
And a final big price at Laurel...
the 9th is won by the 7 and pays 21.60 and 9.40.
That’s a big result in a mandatory since everyone has to use a bullet in that spot.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 4:36 PM EST up reply actions
4th mandatory ready to run at Gulfstream
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Chalk.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 4:48 PM EST up reply actions
11/1 winner in the 3rd at SA
There has really been some nice prices for this first day. Sometimes in these tournaments it turns into chalk city but not today. A player that has used his optionals well could have a big day today.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
24.80 and 8.00 are the payouts.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 5:10 PM EST up reply actions
New leaderboard update...
Same guy leads…he put another $50 or so on top of his total but he’s only up by a few bucks at this point. Of course, there is a LONG way to go.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
5th mandatory race (7th at FG) goes to the chalk.
Won’t make up ground with that one.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
We could see a price in the 9th at GP
It’s a MdSpWt on the lawn at one mile. Big field with the co-favs at 9/2.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Yep, decent price. 10 wins at 7/1.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 5:22 PM EST up reply actions
11/1 in the mandatory race at Golden Gate
Can’t play it safe in this tournament; players that were willing to take shots at good price plays are being rewarded.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
25.40 and 11.80
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 5:56 PM EST up reply actions
Only two mandatory plays left for the day..
the 6th and 7th at Santa Anita.
Players got to be looking for some prices here at the end of the day, especially if you have some optional plays left.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Another leaderboard update...
new leader…and he’s up by almost $30. Nice 1st day.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
And another $20 horse...
the 4 takes the 6th at SA…went off at 11/1. A big price in the 2nd to last mandatory of the day.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
24.80 and 11.60
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Jan 29, 2010 6:46 PM EST up reply actions
handicapping is easy
take the mid-range long shots :)
www.nwfan.com
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