2010 Breeders' Cup: Entries, Post Positions and Morning Line Odds

by Matt Gardner on Nov 2, 2010 2:55 PM EDT in Breeders' Cup

The complete draw is done, all that's left now is a lot of handicapping.

The entries, post positions and morning line odds for all fourteen Breeders' Cup races can be found below the jump.

Day 1 - Friday, November 5th

	Marathon

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Atoned	Neil J. Howard	Robby Albarado	20/1
2	Prince Will I Am	Michelle Nihei	Javier Castellano	4/1
3	Million Seller	H. Graham Motion	Jeremy Rose	50/1
4	Eldaafer	Diane Alvarado	John Velazquez	12/1
5	Romp (ARG)	Kristin Mulhall	Martin Garcia	50/1
6	Gabriel's Hill	Seth Benzel	Jullien Leparoux	20/1
7	Awesome Gem	Craig Dollase	David Flores	7/2
8	Giant Oak	Chris M. Block	Garrett Gomez	4/1
9	Bright Horizon (GB)	Aidan P. O'Brien	John Murtagh	10/1
10	Alcomo (BRZ)	Eduardo Caramori	Rafael Bejarano	6/1
11	Precision Break	Paul F. Cole	Jamie Spencer	15/1
12	A. U. Miner	Clark Hanna	Calvin Borel	9/2


	Juvenile Fillies Turf

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Dos Lunas	John Glenney	John Court	30/1
2	Tale Untold	Richard Hannon	Ryan Moore	15/1
3	Quiet Oasis (IRE)	Brian Meehan	Frankie Dettori	8/1
4	Kathmanblu	Kenneth G. McPeek	Julien Leparoux	10/1
5	Forest Legend	Vicki Oliver	Ramon Dominguez	30/1
6	Arch Support	Gary Contessa	Edgar Prado	20/1
7	Winter Memories	James J. Toner	Jose Lezcano	2/1
8	Wyomia	Daniel J. Vella	Rafael Bejarano	12/1
9	Fancy Point	William Phipps	Kent Desormeaux	15/1
10	New Normal	Mark R. Frostad	Javier Castellano	10/1
11	More Than Real	Todd A. Pletcher	Garrett Gomez	10/1
12	Flood Plain (GB)	John H.M. Gosden	William Buick	20/1
13	Together (IRE)	Aidan P. O'Brien	Johnny Murtagh	5/1
14	Allure d'Amour	Todd A. Pletcher	John Velazquez	15/1
15	Nina Fever	Wesley A. Ward	Robby Albarado	30/1



	Filly & Mare Sprint

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	My Jen	Eddie Kenneally	Johnny Velazquez	15/1
2	Sara Louise	Saeed bin Suroor	Frankie Dettori	15/1
3	Secret Gypsy	Ronny W. Werner	Robby Albarado	12/1
4	Informed Decision	Jonathan E. Sheppard	Julien Leparoux	7/2
5	Evening Jewel	James M. Cassidy	Victor Espinoza	15/1
6	Moontune Missy	Eoin G. Harty	Alan Garcia	30/1
7	Gabby's Golden Gal	Bob Baffert	Martin Garcia	15/1
8	Sweet August Moon	Brian J. Koriner	Mike Smith	30/1
9	Switch	John W. Sadler	Joel Rosario	20/1
10	Rinterval (IRE)	Eric R. Reed	Rafael Bejarano	20/1
11	Jessica Is Back	Martin D. Wolfson	Javier Castellano	12/1
12	Dubai Majesty	William B. Calhoun	Jamie Theriot	6/1
13	Rightly So	Anthony W. Dutrow	Cornelio Velasquez	3/1
14	Champagne d'Oro	Eric J. Guillot	Miguel Mena	6/1
15	Tidal Pool	D. Wayne Lukas	Mike Smith	30/1
16	First Passage	Martin D. Wolfson	Garrett Gomez	30/1


	Juvenile Fillies

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Indian Gracey	Jerry Hollendorfer	Rafael Bejarano	15/1
2	Theyskens' Theory	Brian Meehan	Frankie Dettori	10/1
3	R Heat Lightning	Todd A. Pletcher	John Velazquez	4/1
4	Awesome Feather	Stanley Gold	Jeffrey Sanchez	6/1
5	Harlan's Ruby	Kenneth G. McPeek	Julien Leparoux	15/1
6	Joyful Victory	Anthony W. Dutrow	Ramon Dominguez	15/1
7	Izshelegal	Terry Knight	Mike Smith	30/1
8	A Z Warrior	Bob Baffert	Martin Garcia	7/2
9	Delightful Mary	Mark E. Casse	Shaun Bridgmohan	8/1
10	Believe in A. P.	Richard E. Dutrow Jr.	Garrett Gomez	15/1
11	Soundwave	Ronny W. Werner	Robby Albarado	20/1
12	Tell a Kelly	John W. Sadler	Calvin Borel	9/2
13	Jordy Y	Wayne M. Catalano	Joel Rosario	30/1


	Filly & Mare Turf

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Plumania (GB)	Andre Fabre	Olivier Peslier	8/1
2	Eclair de Lune (GER)	Ronald L. McAnally	Junior Alvarado	15/1
3	Miss Keller (IRE)	Roger L. Attfield	Javier Castellano	8/1
4	Keertana	Thomas F. Proctor	Jose Lezcano	30/1
5	Shared Account	H. Graham Motion	Edgar Prado	30/1
6	Harmonious	John A. Shirreffs	Joel Rosario	6/1
7	Midday (GB)	Henry Cecil	Tom Queally	6/5
8	Hot Cha Cha	Philip A. Sims	James Graham	30/1
9	Hibaayeb (GB)	Saeed bin Suroor	Frankie Dettori	8/1
10	Red Desire (JPN)	Mikio Matsunaga	Kent Desormeaux	8/1
11	Forever Together	Jonathan E. Sheppard	Anna Napravnik	10/1


	Ladies' Classic

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Life At Ten	Todd A. Pletcher	John Velazquez	7/2
2	It's Tea Time	George R. Arnold II	Julien Leparoux	15/1
3	Malibu Prayer	Todd A. Pletcher	Garrett Gomez	8/1
4	Milwaukee Appeal	Scott H. Fairlie	Rafael Bejarano	30/1
5	Acting Happy	Richard E. Dutrow Jr.	Jose Lezcano	20/1
6	Persistently	Claude R. McGaughey III	Alan Garcia	12/1
7	Seeking the Title	Dallas Stewart	Calvin Borel	30/1
8	Unrivaled Belle	William I. Mott	Kent Desormeaux	8/1
9	Acoma	David M. Carroll	Robby Albarado	20/1
10	Blind Luck	Jerry Hollendorfer	Joel Rosario	9/5
11	Havre de Grace	Anthony W. Dutrow	Jeremy Rose	4/1

Day 2 - Saturday, November 6th

	Juvenile Turf

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Typhoon Slew	Michael J. Maker	Julien Leparoux	15/1
2	Deciphering Dreams	Richard E. Dutrow Jr.	Ramon Dominguez	20/1
3	Mantoba (GB)	Brian Meehan	Frankie Dettori	5/1
4	Air Support	Claude R. McGaughey III	Rajiv Maragh	8/1
5	Master of Hounds	Aidan P. O'Brien	Johnny Murtagh	9/2
6	Utley	John H.M. Gosden	William Buick	6/1
7	Willcox Inn	Michael Stidham	John Velazquez	20/1
8	Banned	Thomas F. Proctor	Joel Rosario	10/1
9	Soldat	Kiaran P. McLaughlin	Alan Garcia	8/1
10	Madman Diaries	Wesley A. Ward	Jeffrey Sanchez	12/1
11	Rough Sailing	Michael Stidham	Anna Napravnik	15/1
12	Humble and Hungry	Ignacio Correas	Olivier Peslier	20/1
13	Pluck	Todd A. Pletcher	Garrett Gomez	6/1


	Sprint

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Big Drama	David Fawkes	Eibar Coa	7/2
2	Girolamo	Saeed bin Suroor	Alan Garcia	3/1
3	Wise Dan	Charles LoPresti	Rafael Bejarano	10/1
4	Hamazing Destiny	D. Wayne Lukas	Joel Rosario	20/1
5	Smiling Tiger	Jeffrey L. Bonde	Russell Baze	6/1
6	Pashito the Che	Scott A. Lake	Javier Castellano	15/1
7	Kinsale King	Carl O'Callaghan	Martin Garcia	8/1
8	Cash Refund	Stephen R. Margolis	John Velazquez	20/1
9	Supreme Summit	Mike Puype	Garrett Gomez	15/1
10	Riley Tucker	Steven M. Asmussen	Ramon Dominguez	8/1
11	Atta Boy Roy	Valorie L. Lund	Calvin Borel	12/1
12	Warrior's Reward	Ian R. Wilkes	Julien Leparoux	12/1


	Turf Sprint

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Chamberlain Bridge	William B. Calhoun	Jamie Theriot	6/1
2	Central City	Ronny W. Werner	Robby Albarado	12/1
3	Stradivinsky	Richard E. Dutrow Jr.	John Velazquez	10/1
4	Unzip Me (f)	Martin F. Jones	Rafael Bejarano	8/1
5	Silver Timber	Chad C. Brown	Julien Leparoux	4/1
6	Waveline	Ben D. A. Cecil	Frankie Dettori	20/1
7	Bridgetown	Kenneth G. McPeek	Elvis Trujillo	12/1
8	Quick Enough	Doug F. O'Neill	Patrick Valenzuela	8/1
9	Rose Catherine (f)	Todd A. Pletcher	Javier Castellano	6/1
10	Due Date	Stephen R. Margolis	Garrett Gomez	15/1
11	Grand Adventure	Mark R. Frostad	Patrick Husbands	12/1
12	California Flag	Brian J. Koriner	Victor Espinoza	12/1
13	Tropic Storm	Craig Dollase	David Flores	15/1
14	Canadian Ballet	Linda Rice	Kent Desormeaux	20/1
15	Yield Bogey	Patrick J. Kelly	Jean-Luc Samyn	50/1


	Juvenile

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Biondetti	Mahmoud Al Zarooni	Ahmed Ajtebi	12/1
2	Boys At Tosconova	Richard E. Dutrow Jr.	Ramon Dominguez	5/2
3	J. B.'s Thunder	Albert M. Stall Jr.	Shaun Bridgmohan	12/1
4	J P's Gusto	David E. Hofmans	Patrick Valenzuela	10/1
5	Riveting Reason	Myung Kwon Cho	Victor Espinoza	30/1
6	Stay Thirsty	Todd A. Pletcher	Javier Castellano	8/1
7	Uncle Mo	Todd A. Pletcher	John Velazquez	7/5
8	Murjan	Darrin Miller	Rafael Bejarano	30/1
9	Rogue Romance	Kenneth G. McPeek	Julien Leparoux	30/1
10	Jaycito	Mike R. Mitchell	Mike Smith	8/1


	Mile

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Beethoven (IRE)	Aidan P. O'Brien	Johnny Murtagh	20/1
2	Society's Chairman	Roger L. Attfield	Julien Leparoux	20/1
3	Gio Ponti	Christophe Clement	Ramon Dominguez	4/1
4	Court Vision	Richard E. Dutrow Jr.	Robby Albarado	12/1
5	Delegator (GB)	Saeed bin Suroor	Frankie Dettori	12/1
6	Paco Boy (IRE)	Richard Hannon	Ryan Moore	6/1
7	The Usual Q. T.	James M. Cassidy	Victor Espinoza	15/1
8	Get Stormy	Thomas M. Bush	Javier Castellano	20/1
9	Sidney's Candy	John W. Sadler	Joel Rosario	10/1
10	Goldikova (IRE) (f)	Freddy Head	Olivier Peslier	6/5
11	Proviso (GB) (f)	William I. Mott	Mike Smith	12/1


	Dirt Mile

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Dakota Phone	Jerry Hollendorfer	Joel Rosario	30/1
2	Tizway	H. James Bond	Rajiv Maragh	6/1
3	Aikenite	Todd A. Pletcher	John Velazquez	50/1
4	Mad Flatter	Jeff Thornbury	John Court	12/1
5	Here Comes Ben	Charles LoPresti	Alex Solis	6/1
6	Gayego	Saeed bin Suroor	Frankie Dettori	6/1
7	Thiskyhasnolimit	Steven M. Asmussen	Jamie Theriot	10/1
8	Crown of Thorns	Richard E. Mandella	Rafael Bejarano	4/1
9	Hurricane Ike	John W. Sadler	Calvin Borel	20/1
10	Morning Line	Nicholas P. Zito	Javier Castellano	7/2
11	Mine That Bird	D. Wayne Lukas	Mike Smith	20/1
12	Vineyard Haven	Saeed bin Suroor	Alan Garcia	10/1
13	Cool Coal Man	Nicholas P. Zito	Julien Leparoux	20/1


	Turf

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Champ Pegasus	Richard E. Mandella	Joel Rosario	10/1
2	Winchester	Christophe Clement	Cornelio Velasquez	8/1
3	Telling	Steve Hobby	Javier Castellano	20/1
4	Debussy (IRE)	John H.M. Gosden	William Buick	10/1
5	Al Khali	William I. Mott	Julien Leparoux	10/1
6	Workforce (GB)	Sir Michael R. Stoute	Ryan Moore	7/5
7	Behkabad (FR)	Jean-Claude Rouget	Christophe Lemaire	9/5
8	Dangerous Midge	Brian Meehan	Frankie Dettori	12/1


	Classic

PP	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	ML
1	Quality Road	Todd A. Pletcher	John Velazquez	5/1
2	Paddy O'Prado	Dale L. Romans	Kent Desormeaux	15/1
3	Haynesfield	Steven M. Asmussen	Ramon Dominguez	12/1
4	First Dude	Dale L. Romans	Robby Albarado	15/1
5	Blame	Albert M. Stall, Jr.	Garrett Gomez	9/2
6	Fly Down	Nicholas P. Zito	Julien Leparoux	15/1
7	Musket Man	Derek S. Ryan	Rajiv Maragh	20/1
8	Zenyatta	John A. Shirreffs	Mike Smith	8/5
9	Pleasant Prince	Wesley A. Ward	Joel Rosario	30/1
10	Etched	Kiaran P. McLaughlin	Alan Garcia	30/1
11	Espoir City (JPN)	Akio Adachi	Tetsuzo Sato	20/1
12	Lookin At Lucky	Bob Baffert	Martin Garcia	6/1

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Some quick thoughts

and then I’m going to spend much of the day pouring through the PPs:

1 – Kathmanblu at 10/1 ML for the Juv Filly Turf? Yes, please. Anytime I can get a price like that on a talented turf runner with Leparoux on board, I’m all in.

2 – Chamberlain Bridge got the brunt of the draw in the Turf Sprint. He might not be an early speed type but he’s going to have 13 horses crashing down on him inside the first furlong and a half. Looks like he’s going to get a tough trip.

3 – The 12 hole isn’t death for Lookin At Lucky, but Bobby B. has got to be wondering why he can’t just draw the middle of the gate for his colt.

4 – I wasn’t sold on Quality Road before the draw and I’m even less on board now. He’ll have lots of speed to his outside.

5 – Goldikova at 6/5? I know I’m splitting hairs but I think a better ML was EVEN or 4/5.

6 – I love Dangerous Midge at 12/1 and Al Khali at 10/1 in the Turf.

7 – Oddsmaker Mike Battaglia was generous to Mine That Bird by setting his odds at 20/1. I suppose his name will get him some cash from the more causual bettors but he’s 50/1, at best, on my line.

8 – The rail shouldn’t be too bad for Biondetti in the Juvenile since a lot of the European horses like to get covered up early on.

9 – The Turf Sprint and the F&M Sprint are going to produce some huge payouts…you can just feel it.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 2, 2010 3:32 PM EDT reply actions

You Know, MattG...

I have never really considered post draws….except for when there are factoids like: “post postions higher than 9 have never won this race, etc….” So many times I have overthought speed to the outside, or speedball hemmed on rail and then seen it not matter a whit…

But you may be right about Chamberlain Bridge….

Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.

by JP Fanshawe on Nov 3, 2010 12:17 AM EDT up reply actions

I don't think about them too much, either

Except for some of the turf sprints where it’s so fast early and so short a distance.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 3, 2010 10:53 AM EDT up reply actions

Thanks for posting the odds, gives a good check on what I wrote down (as other websites seem slow to) since they certainly didn’t waste anytime announcing them during the webcast did they.

by Phil23 on Nov 2, 2010 3:38 PM EDT reply actions

Yeah, it's tough to keep up as they move pretty fast.

I was scrambling due to the fact that I had the start time an hour off and jumped in right at the end of the Marathon.

Hopefully these are all correct. I’ll re-check them during the day.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 2, 2010 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions

Quote from Todd Pletcher following the draw

re: Quality Road

"It wouldn’t have been one of my choices, but it is what it is. You don’t get to choose. He was going to load in the gate first regardless, so that part of it doesn’t change. It’s probably less of a disadvantage in a 12-horse field than it is in the Derby going a mile-and-a-quarter in a full field. The horse is doing very well coming up to the race. We’re looking forward to giving it a try. We have to get some position coming out of there. We have to kind of play it by ear. I have a lot of confidence in John Velazquez. That’s one of those decisions he’s going to have to make."

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 2, 2010 3:55 PM EDT reply actions

Paddy O'Prado & Haynesfield

I am going to start reviewing video tonight on how these two break from the gate. I will post my findings. If it shows that they break >=50% towards the rail – - wow, QR’s day will be over literally in the first 3 sec of the race.

I don’t see him recovering from post #1 and getting bumped.

by Swale on Nov 2, 2010 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions

Breaks

I looked at 6 races for Paddy O’Prado and 3 for Haynesfield and they were all clean breaks from the gate.

by Swale on Nov 2, 2010 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions

Looks like he should get away clean.

I guess the question will be is who wants the lead going into the first turn between him and Haynesfield

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 2, 2010 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions

Made a couple of corrections...

I had Aikenite’s odds at 15/1…they are actually 50/1

I also corrected a couple of jockey misspellings although I’m happy to report that I didn’t completely screw up the Cornelio spells it with an “S” and John spells it with a Z when spelling Velasquez/Velazquez.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 2, 2010 4:22 PM EDT reply actions

Scenarios

Matt. We talked earlier this week about “if you ran this race 10x” – now that we have post positions, what are the 2 or 3 likely scenarios you see developing?

by Swale on Nov 2, 2010 8:26 PM EDT reply actions

I think with QR down inside

we’re probably assured of a good, solid early pace between Haynesfield, QR and anyone else that wants to mix it up early (First Dude).

I agree with btalbert29 below, I think it sets up well for Zenyatta and Blame. I’m curious to see what Garcia does with Lucky from the 12 spot. There is plenty of time to get over before the turn, so he shouldn’t be wide at all but does he want to stay closer or lag back? I don’t know.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 3, 2010 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions

Blame

I guess I need to reach down in my pocket and start putting Blame in the top slot on my exoctics. The race does seem to setup for him. I have not done this simply because he ran a top speed figure in his last race (112 Brisnet in the Jockey Gold Cup).

“Bounce” wouldn’t be the word I’d use but I am not sure I see him going up from there to 114 or 115. He’s gone up 4 races in a row till now. I am just wondering if he can fire again.

by Swale on Nov 3, 2010 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions

Musket Man at 20-1....

…seriously?

I love the Breeder’s Cup….

Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.

by JP Fanshawe on Nov 3, 2010 12:18 AM EDT reply actions

That's me with JP's Gusto

10/1? Sounds good to me!

by LAEagle on Nov 3, 2010 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions

Looks like the

Classic is setting up nicely for Zenyatta and Blame. It is crazy to see Musket Man at 20-1. It’s almost worth throwing a 10 dollar bet his way just in case. I think I’m going to have some sort of tri and or super with Zenyatta, Blame, Lucky, Musket Man, and Flydown.

by btalbert29 on Nov 3, 2010 10:48 AM EDT reply actions

Musket Man

I agree with you. I’ve budgeted $10 WPS on him. His life-best speed figure is 109 on Brisnet – in Feb 2010. A 113 or 114 probably wins the Classic or at least puts you in the money.

It’s definitely reachable for Musket Man. I wouldn’t even call it a freak for him – just an improvement.

by Swale on Nov 3, 2010 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions

Pretty surprised at those odds on Awesome Gem

Has he ever run that kind of distance before? I love the fact that he’s so versatile, but I’m not sure he’s really worth being one of the favorites.

by LAEagle on Nov 3, 2010 10:51 AM EDT reply actions

On a double and Pick 3

Is Goldikova a definite single? I saw on Breeder’s Cup 360 they seem to think so and everything I ready indicates so, but man I just don’t know. I’m not sure if it’s Gio Ponti that has me questioning it or if I’m just trying to find value elsewhere.

by btalbert29 on Nov 3, 2010 10:51 AM EDT reply actions

I like Gio a bit in that spot

I never would have imagined I’d write that over a month ago, but he looked so good in that last prep that you have to think he’s got a chance.

On the other hand, Goldikova makes sense as a single; that race on Arc day that she ran was just fantastic. If she runs to 85% of that on Saturday, I think she’s the winner.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 3, 2010 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions

Exactly...

I think you mentioned not too long ago, Matt, that second tier Euro turfers were cleaning up in the states, which might mean that an A-lister Euro won’t need A-game to win. Still, I know myself…I will probably be trying to beat Goldikova. What can I say? I’m a contrarian!

Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.

by JP Fanshawe on Nov 3, 2010 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions

Hey, I hear ya...

It’s so hard to take short odds on BC weekend – it’s like you’re breaking the law or something!

I’m trying to figure out how I’m going to bet around the Mile. I may try to crush a Double of Goldikova and Here Comes Ben in the Dirt Mile, if the will pays are to my liking.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 3, 2010 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions

Well, you may be

able to beat her. Do you all think that outside post is giong to be too much for her to overcome? Especially since the turns are much tighter at CD than any track Golidkova is accustomed to running over?

by btalbert29 on Nov 4, 2010 11:25 AM EDT reply actions

I think Goldikova is too good to beat

I hate saying that on a Breeders’ Cup weekend, but I think she’s just too good, regardless of the post. Normally I wouldn’t say that, but her race on Arc day was so spectacular that I think she’s a lock. Of course, the fact that I just typed that should mean she’s going to lose!! : )

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by Matt Gardner on Nov 5, 2010 2:18 AM EDT up reply actions

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