Saturday Stakes Action
The major graded stakes action takes place at Gulfstream Park today where the Swale, Bonnie Miss, Appleton, and Rampart Stakes on the Florida Derby undercard. Aqueduct will run a re-scheduled Cicada Stakes, while Santa Anita offers a couple of graded events on the lawn
|
Date |
Race |
Grade |
Track |
Distance |
Age |
|
3/20 |
Florida Derby |
I |
GP |
9 |
3yo |
|
3/20 |
Swale Stakes |
II |
GP |
7 |
3yo |
|
3/20 |
Bonnie Miss Stakes |
II |
GP |
9 |
3yo f |
|
3/20 |
Appleton Stakes |
III |
GP |
7.5 T |
4up |
|
3/20 |
Rampart Handicap |
III |
GP |
9 |
4up fm |
|
3/20 |
San Luis Rey Handicap |
II |
SA |
12.0 T |
4up |
|
3/20 |
Bourbonette Stakes |
III |
TP |
8 |
3yo f |
|
3/20 |
Cicada Stakes |
III |
AQU |
6 |
3yo f |
|
3/20 |
Santa Ana Handicap |
II |
SA |
9.0 T |
4up fm |
- D’Funnybone is the clear top dog in the Swale; once you get past his race over the ProRide at Santa Anita he’s a flat out dominant horse in almost every race he’s started. He’s 6/5 on the morning line, odds that he probably won’t come near at post time. Anything above Even seems generous for this horse today.
- Kiss the Kid is the morning favorite for the Appleton but it’s the 7-Rahy’s Attorney that I find the best of the lot. He’s coming off a pretty poor effort in his last race, his first try over the Gulfstream surface, but that was his first try after a layoff and he could be a lot sharper in this spot. He’s generally done his best running up at Woodbine, and that’s certainly a concern, but if I can get 4/1 or higher on this horse I think he’d be worth a play.
- The Rampart features the "Mystery Horse" of the weekend, the Venezuelan invader Bambera (VEN). This filly is 16-for-18 in her career and has bagged almost a million dollars in earnings racing in her native land. We don’t have a whole lot of information on her running style except that she appears to prefer to run out in front and she wins…a lot. The morning line has her pegged at 8/1, odds that seem way too high at first glance.
Unrivaled Belle looks to get back to her winning ways after a disappointing 4th in her seasonal debut at Santa Anita in the Grade 2 La Canada. It’s possible that she just didn’t like the ProRide that day or it could be that she’s a notch below in terms of class. There’s not a lot of speed in this race (other than the unknown Bambera) so it’s possible she controls this one from the get go. - There was a big buzz around the filly Christine Daae after she broke he maiden in stylish fashion at Gulfstream back on January 15th. She followed that up with an allowance score and tries graded stakes company for the first time today in the Grade 2 Bonnie Miss. A replay of Christine Daae’s maiden breaking win can be found here.
- The fifth race at Gulfstream today is a highly competitive Maiden Special Weight for three year olds going a one-turn mile where I really like the 12-Launceston (6/1). This horse finished second in his debut on February 13th in a race where he had to do a lot of running early on in order to avoid being trapped along the rail. He draws outside of the field today where Julien Leparoux should be able to put him into a perfect stalking position without having to gun him out of the gate. Throw in a trainer/jock combination that’s hitting at 22% and Launceston becomes an intriguing price play.
- If you are looking to watch a race with a lot of expensive horses in it, look no further than Gulfstream Race 3, a Maiden Special Weight for three year olds going six furlongs on the main track. Check out the sales fees for some of these colts:
1-Bail Out the Banks: $230,000
7-Al Muhtasib: $520,000
8-Biloxi: $350,000
9-Storm On The Moon: $200,000
10-Dapper Zapper: $775,000
That’s a lot of money in horseflesh and it only represents half the field. I don’t have a clue as to which horse is going to win this race, but it should be fun to watch.
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I swear I jinx any horse that I like with decent odds...
The 12 in the 5th at GP has been bet down from a 6/1 ML to 5/2 favorite status at post-time. Lovely.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Well, I suppose it was good that the 12 got pounded at the windows scaring me off the bet...
cause that horse didn’t run a lick in that race.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions
Playing the 2 or 4 on top in the Rampart
8 – maybe outside hurts his chances over 9f?
1 – unknown (Layoff but training really well)
Playing a hunch.
Horrible start for Bambera...just brutal.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions
When Bambera stumbled that really set it up for the 8
The nice thing is, if anybody likes the 1 they’ll get great odds on her next out…the jock pretty much eased her in the stretch and didn’t ask for anything more.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions
I don't know how good the 1 is...
but I’m guessing she’s better than finishing last and getting beat by 20 lengths, or whatever it was.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Make that the three outside runners
I was referring to 7 and 9 – but 8 appears to do ok on turf as well
Yeah, there's a lot to like with the 7
I’m a little concerned that he doesn’t do much winning outside of Canada but he certainly likes the distance.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions
It's a really tough race.
Kiss the Kid has the back class but his form the last year or so isn’t exactly sparkling.
I like the 7 due to his cruising speed but the 8 and 9 have a lot of nice qualities, as well. I like seeing Leparoux on the 8.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm giving some love to Together Indy
Always bet on the colt ever since he broke his maiden. Unfortunately something else may have “broken”. Hoping today he will recover his New Jersey form
I'm leaning to the 8 now...
I’m hoping Leparoux can give this guy the trip he needs.
7/8 exacta seems worth a shot.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions
good luck to all!
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions
That was certainly a blanket finish,
bout seven horses all within a couple lengths of eachother.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
I was contemplating playing the P4 but didn't because of that race...
didn’t have a great feel for it at all.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions
The Swale sure looks like a formful affair.
If I had played the P4 I don’t know that I would do anything but single D’Funnybone. If he loses I have no clue who will beat him.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Not a whole lot of value. Could be fun to watch, though.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions
2/5 on D' Funnybone...
didn’t think he would be anywhere near those 6/5 ML odds and he certainly isn’t.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Got a little lazy in the stretch but he put those away on the turn.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions
15 MTP to Florida Derby
Rule at 9/5
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Some interesting tote board action...
in the Pick 3 will pays the 5 is the third choice after Rule and Radiohead.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Rule's going to be tough if he doesn't get any pace pressure.
Lentenor sure looks the part on the track…don’t think he’s a winner but he looks fantastic.
I like First Dude and will hope Rule comes up a bit short. Radiohead’s draw is keeping me away.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 6:17 PM EDT up reply actions
And Durtow is not talking up Radiohead...
he usually will spare no opportunity to toot his own horn
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions
"Dutrow" ...typing too fast.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions
He looks just great out there...
If this was a turf race I’d be betting him with both hands.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions
Post Time
Somebody is about to ensure a spot in the Derby.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
Radiohead just went about 6 wide
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions
That looked a lot like the Tampa Bay Derby...
fell apart in deep stretch. They went 1:10+ for six and then 1:37 for the mile….that’s at :27 second fourth quarter…brutal.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
A good jock with a good horse...
…has to be patient. Now we get to see Ice Box in May. Really I ought to freeze my laptop in protest.
With all the speed horses pointing towards the Derby...
Conveyance, Sidney’s Candy, Rule…etc, there will be no shortage of pace.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions
Fractions:
1/4: 23.21
1/2: 46.46
3/4: 1:10.76
mile: 1:36.09
Finish: 1:49.19
:13.10 final 1/16th…Ice Box wasn’t moving that fast, everyone else was just crawling.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
I didn't take a look at that race today so not too sure.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Anything look good in there?
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Bourbon Bay the clear favorite at 6/5 deservedly so - 2 straight wins at SA
High Court Drama (Irish 5 yr old) second choice. Obrigado (the other Drysdale entry) one of my faves but cannot bet to win. Maybe Sudden War (ARG)? I don’t see much else.
I always hate races like that, where the same field faces each other again...
happens a lot in the claiming ranks. It’s tough to tell who might get the best of the group the next time out.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions
Me too ... pretty much. I hate it when they give the race graded stakes status! :-)
Gonna play BB on top here in an exotic, 3/2,4,5/1,2,4,5,6,7
good luck.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 7:14 PM EDT up reply actions
You had the right idea.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 7:17 PM EDT up reply actions
So true.
I’m going to “Romp” over to my “Ice Box” and have a snack. Enjoyed the conversation MattG – will be reading your posts. Talk with you soon.
Have a good one.
Thanks for coming by.
"A bad day at the race track is better than a good day at the office."
by Matt Gardner on Mar 20, 2010 7:20 PM EDT up reply actions

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