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It's been 32 years...who should have won the Triple Crown?

ELMONT, NEW YORK - JUNE 5: Birdstone (4), ridden by Edgar Prado wins 136th Belmont Stakes as Smarty Jones (9) ridden by Stewart Elliott comes in second on June 5, 2004 at in Elmont, New York. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

ELMONT, NEW YORK - JUNE 5: Birdstone (4), ridden by Edgar Prado wins 136th Belmont Stakes as Smarty Jones (9) ridden by Stewart Elliott comes in second on June 5, 2004 at in Elmont, New York. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

There might not be a horse going for the Triple Crown this year, but that doesn't mean we can't reminisce about past near-misses.  Below is a list of the horses that have been denied thoroughbred racing's ultimate prize since Affirmed won the 1978 Belmont Stakes.

Triplecrownmisses_medium 

Horses that won the Belmont Stakes and one other leg of the Triple Crown:

Afleet Alex (won Preakness and Belmont)
Point Given ( won Preakness and Belmont)
Thunder Gulch  (won Kentucky Derby and Belmont)
Tobasco Cat (won Preakness and Belmont)
Hansel (won Preakness and Belmont)
Risen Star (won Preakness and Belmont)
Swale (won Kentucky Derby and Belmont)

Which of the above "near misses" do you think was the biggest surprise?

For me, any list of the best horses to not win the Triple Crown in the last 32 years has to begin with Spectacular Bid.  The Bid was leading by three lengths after a mile and a quarter but faded badly to 3rd at the finish in what was one of the worst rides you will ever see in a big time race in your life. (Video)  For some unknown reason, Ron Franklin decided to move The Bid to the front of the pack into the teeth of torrid factions down the backside.  By the time he was exiting the far turn, Franklin was already asking for everything that the colt had.  From there it was all over but the crying as Coastal and Golden Act passed the tiring Bid in the stretch to deny racing its third Triple Crown winner in three years; little did we know that we wouldn't have seen one since.

Prior to 2008, the biggest flop by a horse going for Triple Crown glory was War Emblem's 8th place finish to winner Sarava in 2002.  Every other horse gunning for the big prize since 1978 had managed to at least finish in the superfecta.  All that history changed the day that Kent Desormeaux and Big Brown didn't make it back to the finish line in the 2008 Belmont Stakes.  Many will probably have Big Brown atop their "best-to-be-denied" lists, but I was surprised at the number of players that I knew that were vehemently betting against the colt in the Belmont primarily due to the foot issues he had to deal with in the three weeks following his Preakness victory.   

Media darling Smarty Jones was a shocking upset victim to Bridstone in 2004, but in retrospect his loss wasn't that shocking.  Yes, Smarty was clearly the best three year old in a year that left a lot to be desired (at least in the spring), but a mile and a half race for a colt sired by Elusive Quality was just too much.  One needs no more evidence of the importance of pedigree in thoroughbred horses than to watch Smarty Jones' stride noticeably shorten in the middle of the Belmont stretch in 2004. (Video)  

Perhaps the more interesting list is the one containing horses that won the Belmont and one of the other two legs of the Triple Crown as there are certainly some high quality colts in the likes of Point GivenThunder Gulch, Swale, and Afleet Alex.

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Great Question...

I have always had a soft spot for the woulda/coulda/shoulda angle, as it applies to so much of my gambling history as well. I agree that The Bid is probably the tops of this list. Isn’t it true that he stepped on a nail, or piece of metal, or something in the paddock and hurt a foot just before the race? I heard or read that somewhere…

Of the others, I have always had a soft spot for Afleet Alex. I know I have mentioned it before, but his Derby’s insane pace compromised his effort and he was still game enough to finish third. I would have to say Point Given is also a horse that certainly had the ability.

And Sunday Silence is one of my all-time favorite horses. I loved that rivarly. I really believe that either SS or Easygoer would have one all three had they been born in different years.

Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.

by JP Fanshawe on May 28, 2010 3:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Totally agree on Sunday Silence...

one of my all-time favorites. Got a picture of him and Easy Goer dueling in the Preakness on my wall. Great horse and one of the best rivalries in the last 30 years.

Yeah, the safety pin certainly didn’t help the Bid’s chances, but I still thought Franklin moved him way too soon, Of course, that’s easy to say from my computer.

It’s really amazing how many near misses there have been in the last 32 years. 21 horses have won the Derby and Preakness but been denied in the Belmont, and 11 of those have occurred since 1978. Amazing.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

by MattGSeattle on May 28, 2010 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  


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