2010 Breeders' Cup: Classic Future Odds (8/26)
by Matt Gardner on Aug 26, 2010 11:19 AM EDT
in Breeders' Cup
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The Wynn Las Vegas released an updated Breeders' Cup future odds list last week but I . Here's a quick summary of the future odds for the Classic as compared to the last update from a month ago.
|
Rank |
Horse |
Open |
Last |
Current |
|
1 |
Zenyatta |
14/1 |
7/2 |
7/2 |
|
2 |
Quality Road |
10/1 |
4/1 |
4/1 |
|
3 |
Rachel Alexandra |
5/1 |
5/1 |
5/1 |
|
4 |
Blame |
20/1 |
10/1 |
6/1 |
|
5 |
Lookin At Lucky |
15/1 |
10/1 |
7/1 |
|
6 |
Gio Ponti |
12/1 |
14/1 |
15/1 |
|
Rail Trip |
60/1 |
20/1 |
15/1 |
|
|
7 |
Fame And Glory |
40/1 |
18/1 |
18/1 |
|
8 |
Misremembered |
22/1 |
15/1 |
20/1 |
|
Awesome Gem |
50/1 |
20/1 |
20/1 |
|
|
Dublin |
60/1 |
20/1 |
20/1 |
|
|
Others |
||||
|
Ice Box |
75/1 |
22/1 |
25/1 |
|
|
Fly Down |
60/1 |
25/1 |
30/1 |
|
|
Super Saver |
100/1 |
30/1 |
30/1 |
|
|
First Dude |
100/1 |
30/1 |
30/1 |
|
|
I Want Revenge |
30/1 |
30/1 |
30/1 |
|
|
Trappe Shot |
50/1 |
40/1 |
30/1 |
|
We haven't seen any major shifts in the future wagering for the Classic in the last month; Blame took a bit of a price cut following his defeat of Quality Road in the Whitney and Lookin At Lucky's Haskell win put him firmly into the Top 5 in terms of betting, but the rest of the action was fairly stable.
I wanted to see how the bookmakers in North America viewed the Classic compared to those in Europe. Below the jump you'll find a chart that compares the current Wynn odds to those from PaddyPower.com and Bet365.com.
|
Horse |
|||
|
Zenyatta |
7/2 |
7/2 |
4/1 |
|
Quality Road |
4/1 |
8/1 |
6/1 |
|
Rachel Alexandra |
5/1 |
7/1 |
7/1 |
|
Blame |
6/1 |
6/1 |
5/1 |
|
Lookin At Lucky |
7/1 |
4/1 |
4/1 |
|
Gio Ponti |
15/1 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Rail Trip |
15/1 |
16/1 |
20/1 |
|
Fame And Glory |
18/1 |
16/1 |
16/1 |
|
Misremembered |
20/1 |
20/1 |
25/1 |
|
Awesome Gem |
20/1 |
33/1 |
33/1 |
|
Dublin |
20/1 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
A Little Warm |
25/1 |
n/a |
33/1 |
|
Ice Box |
25/1 |
33/1 |
33/1 |
|
Twice Over |
25/1 |
16/1 |
12/1 |
|
Fly Down |
30/1 |
33/1 |
33/1 |
|
Super Saver |
30/1 |
20/1 |
20/1 |
|
First Dude |
30/1 |
33/1 |
40/1 |
|
I Want Revenge |
30/1 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Trappe Shot |
30/1 |
20/1 |
20/1 |
|
Gitano Hernando |
30/1 |
16/1 |
25/1 |
|
Rip Van Winkle |
30/1 |
12/1 |
8/1 |
|
Mine That Bird |
40/1 |
25/1 |
25/1 |
|
Espoir city |
50/1 |
14/1 |
20/1 |
|
Byword |
n/a |
16/1 |
16/1 |
|
Battle Plan |
n/a |
16/1 |
20/1 |
A few thoughts on the overseas betting markets:
- As is illustrated by the chart, the overseas bookmakers view Zenyatta as the betting favorite but have Lookin At Lucky, instead of Quality Road, as the clear #2 choice. They've pegged Blame at the same odds as the Wynn but have both Quality Road and Rachel Alexandra as bigger prices on the board than here in the U.S.
- One glaring difference between Vegas and the overseas bookmakers is with Juddmonte winner Rip Van Winkle. The Wynn has pegged Rip at 30/1 while PaddyPower (12/1) and Bet365 (8/1) have him at a much lower number, suggesting that he has taken quite a bit of action in their markets.
- One other glaring difference in markets: Gio Ponti sits as the 6th choice in Vegas but isn't even a consideration on the overseas board. The overseas markets make more sense to me in this situation as it seems doubtful that Gio Ponti will even run in the Classic.
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