Loooong shots
One of the things I like about pulling the results charts each day for certain tracks is that sometimes you see things that you'd never see if you're just watching the tote board or skimming the quick results. Today was one of those days.
I don't know that I've ever seen so many horses go off at odds of greater than 100/1 as I saw today at Gulfstream. Sure, once and a while you see a horse or two at odds that high, but check out some of today's starters and their odds (and resulting finish):
1st: Logan Square (158/1, 4th)
2nd: Fivenineteen (175/1, 7th)
2nd: Clever Chris (148/1, 9th)
5th: Razputin (185/1, 6th)
5th: Guiding Spirit (247/1, 11th)
5th: Ehlinger (224/1, 12th)
7th: Mae Ruler (125/1, 3rd)
8th: Fightingforfreedom (105/1, 5th)
Eight horses at odds of over 100/1, with seven of those more than 125/1.
Similar to almost all huge long shots, none of these horses put up much of a fight on the track. Mae Ruler and Logan Square were able to find their way into the tri and super, respectively, but the rest finished well up the track.
A big part of this phenomenon is a result of the large fields at Gulfstream right now. A lot of races are featuring eleven and twelve horse fields, especially on the grass. But it's still a bit strange to see that many horses eclipsing the century mark on the odds board. As a comparison, Thursday's card had one horse go off at more than 100/1, while Monday saw three horses reach that mark.
A couple of additional interesting facts from the list above:
- Every single one of those horses made their last start at Calder. I don't really think that means anything against Calder since shippers from that track also won three races on the day.
- The 1st race also had a horse at 94/1 that finished last (8th).
- The 2nd race also included horses at 76/1, 74/1, 56/1 and 53/1. The 56/1 shot finished in the show spot.
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The First And Seventh Races....
…had healthy supers due to those longshots, but not as healthy as I would have thought. I suppose the pools wasn’t all that big. Played today. Aqueduct.
Crash.
Burn.
No Survivors.
Matt, a fellow tourney player had told me about a different tour today that sends winners to Orleans for the Horseplayer World Series when we played together in the Kentucky Downs tournament back in September. I came across the note today and visited horseplayersqualify.com. Check it out. I am intrigued, because unlike NHCqualify, prize money is awarded to the top 30, as well as an entry to World Series. Multiple entries are also allowed in the online contest and the World Series in February. The only downside is that there are 700 entrants in the World Series, double that of the NHC, and the payout to first is “only” 270 grand, where the NHC is a half-mil and will elevate to a million next year. They have a final tourney coming up Sunday for the final event at Orleans…which is 15 optional races a day over three days….talk about earning it!
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
...and when I say "pools wasn't"
I, of course, mean “pools weren’t…” I hate when I don’t proof….
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
Thanks. I'll check that out.
I’ve known about the Orleans tournament but I’ve never really investigated any of the details behind it.
I like the idea of 15 optional races only because all of the recent tournaments I’ve played in recently have come up with some brutal mandatory races. At this point I just want to chose my own races to play.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

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