BREEDERS' CUP 2011: Royal Delta Cruises In The Ladies' Classic
by Matt Gardner on Nov 4, 2011 8:07 PM EDT
in Breeders' Cup
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Sitting off of a slow pace set by 2011 Kentucky Oaks winner Plum Pretty, 2/1 favorite Royal Delta powered to the front in the final furlongs to win the Breeders' Cup Ladies' Classic in relatively easy fashion at Churchill Downs. It's Tricky got up for the place and Pachattack rounded out the trifecta.
Fractions:
1/4: 24.18
1/2: 49.00
3/4: 1:13.72
Mile: 1:38.12
Finish: 1:50.78
Internal Splits:
1/4: 24.18
1/2: 24.82
3/4: 24.72
Mile: 24.40
Finish: 12.66
The victory by Royal Delta in the Ladies' Classic wrapped up a fairly wild first day of the 2011 Breeders' Cup, a day that would see a parade logical horses mixed in with 20/1 shockers.
- Bob Baffert's Secret Circle ($2.80) got the day started by dominating the inaugural running of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Sprint.
- In the Juvenile Fillies Turf, Stephanie's Kitten ($14.20) unleashed a furious late charge to deny a game Stopshoppingmaria in the final furlongs.
- The first bomb of the day rolled home in the Filly & Mare Sprint when Musical Romance ($42.20) skimmed the rail and held off Switch and Her Mile.
- My Miss Aurelia ($6.20) proved that she is the real deal by dominating the Juvenile Fillies as the 2/1 favorite.
- In almost a replay of last year's race, Perfect Shirl used a strong late run to upset the favored Europeans and win the Filly & Mare Turf. Last year, Shared Account pulled off a similar feat when she beat Midday (GB).
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That She Did...
but to quote Homer Simpson:
“Bo-ring!”
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
Yeah, that race played out kind of as expected.
Not a lot of drama in deep stretch.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
I believe these are correct.
6-Royal Delta with
1: —
2: $10
3: $42
4: $86
5: $25
6: $133
7: $112
8: $49
9: $44
10: $16
11: $129
12: $26
13: $29
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
That's a $1 Double payout
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
Interesting will pays
The Double to Uncle Mo is quite a bit higher than it is to Havre de Grace. I think we’ll see him drift up in odds tomorrow, if these are any indication as to how the public views his chances.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
Yep
#-ML-Current
1: SCR
2: 6/1, 3/1
3: 15/1, 13/1
4: 20/1, 16/1
5: 5/1, 8/1
6: 30/1, 21/1
7: 30/1, 18/1
8: 10/1, 14/1
9: 12/1, 7/1
10: 3/1, 5/1
11: 30/1, 30/1
12: 5/2, 9/2
13: 12/1, 8/1
Only about $75k in the win pool, so not much to go on.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
Call me Dan Doner
I hope the good participants of this blog took home some of the money I donated today. Enjoyed the gaming at a little off-track joint called Joe’s in Centralia, WA. I was swinging for the fences with the pick 4’s and superfectas while the seasoned vets grinded it out. It was better than a day at the office.
Experience to extremes
At least there's Saturday.
I think tomorrow’s card will provide some bigger payouts than today.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
I Think...
I may start paying less attention to the Friday portion of the card. I preferred it when it was just 8 races on a Saturday. I guess I like all of the different divisions getting some play, but it is a lot of work the way I do it, and 15 races just forces me to spread the bankroll a little thinner. In future, I think I will focus on small plays on Ladies Day.
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
blew the roll
Yeah, I only hit one trifecta, and didn’t replenish the bank. I played a few advanced races for tomorrow to keep it interesting. Maybe if you and Matt give me a good tip it’ll be worth driving into town and playing some more ;→
Experience to extremes
Pick 4 bomb
Was it Musical Romance that upset the Pick 4 apple cart? That one hurt.
Experience to extremes
Pick 6 carry over
ESPN made note about one person having a shot at $899,000 on the Pick 6, but it didn’t hit. Am I correct the money carries over to the last 6 races tomorrow, including the 12th that is not a BC race? I think you wrote about that earlier this week, Matt.
Experience to extremes
No, the Pick 6 was hit. I think ESPN mis-stated the situation.
Two tickets had Royal Delta and it paid $444,500.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
I Would Be Shocked....
Shocked, to hear that ESPN reported something incorrectly!
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
Well, did you noticed they never ran a replay of the Juv Fillies?
Atrocious. I mean, My Miss Aurelia was one of the most impressive winners on the day and they didn’t even show a replay.
I won’t get into the (ONCE AGAIN) horrible camera angles cause I think everyone knows my feeling on that. Just brutal.
Randy Moss and Jerry Bailey save those broadcasts.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
I will say this..
the HD picture quality on ESPN is fantastic… I just wish they wouldn’t give me a tower cam shot during the race.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
I was actually rooting for themeven though I didn’t have the horse. All in all, ESPN wasn’t too bad.
Experience to extremes
I Despise Joe Tessetore....
not just for his horse racing hosting, but for his college football calls.
He is my own little personal voice of failure, thus far. Of course, tomorrow I could love the guy!
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
Well, the BC feed was Todd Schrupp and Paul LoDuca
Death was not an option.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
That Is Who I Stuck With Primarily....
…and let me tell you, I wouldn’t mind if we could somehow maroon Tessetore and Schrupp on some island together!
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
by JP Fanshawe on Nov 4, 2011 9:23 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I can't rec this comment enough.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
Good point.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
Although, I kind of like the monitor yellers.
I was at Arlington Park a few years ago and I was simulcasting Saratoga. A guy standing next to me went balistic during one race, just screaming at the jockey…er, the TV. I had to walk away because I was starting to laugh uncontrollably, not because I was happy he lost, but because it was so ridiculous what he was yelling at the TV…a machine! I figured if he saw me laughing things might get ugly.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
Those Are The Hardcore Gamblers...
….respect….
What I really love is how the horses never have names to those guys – only numbers.
“Come on 2. Come on 2. COME ON 2. Come on Castro, you bum. Get him up! Get him up! Two….two….two…..!
You bum. Castro you’re a bum."
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
Yep! And that's what this guy was doing...
I can’t remember the jock this guy was yelling at but he was just livid. I think it was Dominguez… and I won’t repeat what he was saying because I think I could go to hell just for typing it.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
I like the
“HES GOT HORSE! HES GOT HORSE!” Screamers. I dunno why but there’s a gaggle of OTBers at CD that only yell that.
by TFTribe on Nov 5, 2011 8:45 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Classic
After I got up on the 9th race, I started putting $$ on all the horses I couldn’t afford before in the Classic (did I mention we’d been drinking).
WPS on Ruler on Ice, Game on Dude, Headache and To Honor and Serve
My Pick
Bo Derick is still the finest filly in the stable.
Experience to extremes
by EDowner on Nov 4, 2011 9:25 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Horse Racing for Dummies
Well I got my book in today. It’s edited by Richard Eng from Vegas. Is he respected in the field?
Experience to extremes
Yeah...
but if you’re looking for a good primer, I would go with Brad Free’s Handicapping 101.
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
I was just going to write the same thing.
Brad Free’s book is excellent.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
Turf Sprint
I think the Turf Spring is wide open.
#5, #7 and #9 all have a chance. IMO.
In the turf I like Byword, #8 who will be 12-15:1.
I'm starting to come back to Drill in the Juvenile
He disappointed in that race at Santa Anita, but Baffert really thought he’d be better on dirt than he was on synthetics. 8/1 isn’t bad, but I’d love to see 10/1 or 12/1 on him at post time.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
Drill
It seems that something was bothering him the whole way in that SA race – - did you happen to see any replay?
Not in the last few days, but I'll take another look tonight.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
I Haven't Really Looked Yet...
that is another of the things I think I dislike about the two-day setup. It is a bit wearying tome to be in the heat of battle, handicapping and wagering all day, and then have to look ahead to tomorrow right away. I prefer fresh eyes, so I am probably going to sit here and drink a couple of more beers and then go to bed.
With that said, I know from my math that at least six races tomorrow – the sprint, the turf sprint, the dirt mile, the juvenile, the turf mile, and the Classic have what I’d call potential “Chaos” pace scenarios. So from a fig perspective that means I have interest in Aikenite, Perfect Officer, Tapizar, Drill, Turalure, Flat Out, and Ruler On Ice, in their respective races. That is without looking at any of their PP’s though….just the math.
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
I agree with that...
I like the extra races but the two day format is much more draining than the single day. I’d rather run 15 in one day than split the two up.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
New respect
I kind of agree with JP. During the Triple Crown I get excited a week in advance and study one race. This is kind of like work. I always thought it would be cool to hang around the track, bs’n with the trainers. I’ve got to step up my game.
Experience to extremes
Watch Out!
It’s addictive. Related to what I was saying above, I think it is good to vary your routine. I find myself sometimes reaching “paralysis by analysis” where every horse looks too good to throw out. In that book I mentioned, Brad Free says something that I frequently cite to myself when building wagers: “be bold, or be wrong.” That really is the key to this game: have an opinion about a race, and stay true to that opinion as you bet.
You’re right, though. It is work. But as Matt’s tag says: “a bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office.”
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
Well my favorite place to be at the track
Is on the backside so I can do just that. Plus parking is better!
by TFTribe on Nov 5, 2011 8:47 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Sad story
The other day I was surfing DRF and took a link to a handicapper Nick somebody or other. It caused a virus to my computer. First time ever for me. So I called DRF in the morning to let them know and as I was walking through what page of theirs was infected, the customer service rep had to put me on hold because her computer got the bug. I don’t know why she needed to prove to herself. Anyway, they removed the link quickly after that.
Experience to extremes
Yikes, that's not good.
"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."
And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace
I like DRF, but it obviously stopped me from using their online gaming services. Even though it stinks about my computer, I’m glad I went out and met some cool people. I like the racing crowd and I hit enough to keep it interesting. Kinda like that one nice drive during a round of golf.
Experience to extremes
See ya
Well, I better get studying. The window opens at 8:30. Good chatting with you all.
Experience to extremes
Good luck, tomorrow!
Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.
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