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Around SBN: FSU To Big 12 'Inevitable,' According To Report

2011 FLORIDA DERBY RESULT: Dialed In runs them down again

Dialed In guaranteed himself a spot in the starting gate for the 2011 Kentucky Derby after closing from well back to win the Grade 1 Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park on Sunday afternoon.  Shackleford ran a huge race to finish 2nd at 50/1, while To Honor and Serve and Flashpoint finished 3rd and 4th.  Soldat was off-the-board in a hugely disappointing performance.

Dialed In, trained by Nick Zito and ridden by Julien Leparoux, is a three-year-old son of Mineshaft out of a Storm Cat mare (Miss Doolittle).

Result Chart (via DRF.com)

Fractions:

1/4: 23.30
1/2: 46.35
3/4: 1:10.63
Mile: 1:36.38
Finiah: 1:50.07

Dialed In's internal splits (via Formulator Interactive Charts)

1/4: 24.85
1/2: 23.31
3/4: 23.67
Mile: 25.17
Finish: 13.09

Somewhat similar to his win in the Holy Bull, Dialed In ran his fastest split in the 2nd quarter.  Unlike the Holy Bull, he didn't come home in :12 and change.  Of course, the goal is to run your best race in the Kentucky Derby, not the final prep, so perhaps his allowance win against older and this Florida Derby provide a foundation he can build off on the first Saturday in May.

As for major disappointments, it's hard not to have serious misgivings with Soldat at this point.  He's looked so good in his previous starts this spring you wonder if something was physically wrong with him today.  Soldat's 4th quarter internal split was 26.02 with a final 1/8th of a mile in 14.67 - brutally slow for a horse with serious Derby aspirations.

I'm not sure what happened to the speed we saw from Flashpoint in the Hutcheson, but when he didn't make the lead going into the first turn the race was all but over for him.

Video Replay (via GulfstreamParkRacing YouTube channel)

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OK, If Zito Cries...

…after winning with Dialed In and mentions Strike The Gold as he does so, maybe this horse has the magic. He certainly has a style that suits the Derby. One of the key professors in my life was Dr. Shackleford, who died at 44 of a heart attack. I CAN’T BELIEVE I didn’t throw a wps bet on him! Serves me right for thinking that no speed horses had a chance in the race…I was mostly right, but Shackleford’s run might not have been that surprising given the fact that speed seemed to be holding pretty well at Gulfstream today….which means Dialed In was even more impressive, closing against a bias, perhaps?

Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.

by JP Fanshawe on Apr 3, 2011 6:03 PM EDT reply actions  

He's the only one to win from well of the pace today...

Although Malibu Glow closed from well back in a one-turn mile in the 4th race, so wasn’t a total lost cause to close today.

Dialed In appears to me to be a horse somewhat like Zenyatta in that he’s going to run at a target regardless of pace. His final split isn’t going to be that fast today, but he seems to always bring his run, which is certainly a good attribute. My biggest concern is traffic in the Derby as he’s easily gone wide off the turn in pretty much every win in his career.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace

by Matt Gardner on Apr 3, 2011 6:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

And I love Zito...

he loves the sport and does well by it. I can never get too upset when one of his horses wins.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace

by Matt Gardner on Apr 3, 2011 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ditto On Zito....

he’s one of my favorites. I think you are right on with the Zenyatta comparison. One thing about Derby traffic is that it seems to me that it affects frontronners and raters the most, so I tend to favor horses that are nowhere near the lead in that race.

Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.

by JP Fanshawe on Apr 3, 2011 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

A look at the chart gives some interesting clues...

horses that were 1-2-3-4-5-6 at the 3/4 mark finished 2-3-4-5-6-7 at the wire. Dialed In was the only horse to improve his position during the race.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace

by Matt Gardner on Apr 3, 2011 6:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nice call on Dialed In

I was skeptical off his last and thought he might leave himself too much to do.

Never trust a man who doesn't drink.

by Noir Jim Tressel on Apr 3, 2011 6:16 PM EDT reply actions  

That's got to be a bit of concern with him...

14 lengths back early…man, that’s a lot of ground to make up with no room for error.

If the Derby was a 10 horse field, he’d have a much better chance than the 20 horse free-for-all he’s going to have to navigate.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace

by Matt Gardner on Apr 3, 2011 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I Actually Might Think The Opposite....

….there might be no better place to be in the Derby than double-digit lengths back and clear. Unless it is raining….

Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.

by JP Fanshawe on Apr 3, 2011 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd agree that early it's the better place...

he won’t have to go wide, get stuck inside, etc., but somewhat like Z in the Classic, if runs into any rough spots on the turn of at the top of the stretch, I think he’ll have a lot of work to do. That’s not to say I don’t give him a big shot in the Derby; I haven’t seen much else out there that he can’t run down with a long stretch drive at his disposal and Zito seems to have him right where he wants him.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace

by Matt Gardner on Apr 3, 2011 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

5-of-6 on the P6

and, of course, no consolation. Shucks.

Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.

by JP Fanshawe on Apr 3, 2011 8:46 PM EDT reply actions  

Which one did you miss on?

Was it S.S. Stone? I tossed him pretty quick from the Skip Away…bad move on my part.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace

by Matt Gardner on Apr 3, 2011 9:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Missed on Last Race....

I was singled to the 3-Imaging. I had SS Stone, because he had the best closing figure in a race I thought would have a fast pace.

Now is the time boys to make a big noise.
No matter what the people say,
For there is naught to fear, the gang's all here,
So hail West Virginia, hail.

by JP Fanshawe on Apr 3, 2011 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Aw, tough to go out on the last leg.

"A bad day at the track is better than a good day at the office."

And Down The Stretch They Come | @PressThePace

by Matt Gardner on Apr 3, 2011 11:56 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

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