LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 01: Jockey Martin Garcia atop Conveyance leads the field around turn one during the 136th running of the Kentucky Derby on May 1, 2010 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
Dialed In, winner of the Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park, was made the morning line favorite for Saturday's Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs after drawing post position #8 this afternoon. Twenty horses drew into this year's Derby including juvenile champion Uncle Mo, who ended up in post position #18 and morning line odds of 9/2.
Archarcharch, winner of the Arkansas Derby, drew the dubious #1 post position, a spot that single handedly doomed Lookin At Lucky in last year's Derby. Archarcharch is 10/1 on the morning line.
Below are the entries, post positions, and odds for the 2011 Kentucky Derby
Some thoughts on the draw:
- Other than Watch Me Go, nobody really got screwed too bad. Decisive Moment is drawn inside a lot of speed, and that's usually tough for a speed horse. Archarcharch is on the rail but he's not a horse that has to be out of the gate quickly (and Brilliant Speed is a stone-cold closer, so he should be able to out-break him in the first 1/2 furlong). It's not an optimum spot to start from, but he should fair better than Lucky did last year.
- Dialed In should be fine at #8.
Uncle Mo is okay at #18, but he could get caught a bit wide in that first turn and I think that could be his biggest issue. At the end of the day, if Uncle Mo doesn't win I don't think it will be because of the draw, I think it will be because of his fitness. The draw might help to highlight that fact even more.