LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 05: Mario Gutierrez celebrates atop I'll Have Another after winning the 138th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 5, 2012 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
With the shocking victory of I'll Have Another in the 2012 Kentucky Derby, my duty as a contributor for the site means I must examine him further.
A 2009 foal by Flower Alley out of Arch's Gal Edith (Arch), he originally sold in 2010 for $11,000 at the Keeneland November Yearling Sale. He was then pinhooked and resold at the Ocala Breeders' Sales Company Spring Sale of 2 year Olds in Training in 2011 for $35,000. That pinhooker was very happy. 2 sales, and a total of $46,000 has changed hands. That's a pretty good deal.
His stallion, Flower Alley, currently stands at Three Chimneys in Lexington for $7,500. He is a solid sire, but nothing spectacular. He has a total of 6 stakes winners out of two crops of foals that have reached the race track. That is a 4% rate of siring stakes winners. The best stallions are north of 10%. I'll Have Another is far and away his best foal, as Flower Alley only has 8 foals that have earned over $100,000. Flower Alley is by Distorted Humor, who currently stands for $100,000 at Winstar Farm, and obviously he is one of the best stallions currently standing anywhere in the world. Flower Alley's dam is Princess Olivia, who only won $43,000, but was bred to run all day long. Basically she's nothing special.
I'll Have Another's Dam is Arch's Gal Edith. She was 1 for 1 on the track and won $25,000. She has three registered foals from 2007-9. All three foals are winners. Her 2008 foal. Those Were The Days, is 5 for 6 lifetime and is a very nice allowance horse in New York who runs 6-7 furlongs.
His second dam is Force Five Gal (Pleasant Tap). She placed in an ungraded stakes. Her lifetime earnings are $103,000. She raced at just under a mile. Force Five Gal has 8 registered foals, 4 winners, 3 winners of $100,000, and no black type.
The Broodmare Sire is Arch. He is a fantastic stallion. He sires 17% stakes winners, including Blame. As a broodmare sire, he currently ranks 12th on the Bloodhorse Broodmare Stallion list for 2012.
So, I'll Have Another is a solid, but not amazing pedigree. He is far and away the highest quality runner in his family, even without his win in the Derby. He is bred to run over a mile when you combine his sire's and dam's average winning distances then factor in their dosage computations. He should have plenty of speed based on his siblings' success at 7f, and it appears he's got tactical speed to stalk and close. Based on his performace on the track on Derby day, I think it's safe to say that he can go 10f, and keep up with torrid fractions. There is no doubt he's an immensely talented colt, but certainly not bred impeccably. I fully expect him to be a very high quality horse from here on out. He should have favorable breeding crosses with Medaglia D'oro, Deputy Minister, and AP Indy lineages.