2012 Breeders' Cup Wrap - Part II

Harry How

This is the second of what will likely be three posts taking a look back at the 2012 Breeders' Cup at Santa Anita Park. In Part II, we take a look at the results from the Breeders' Cup and attempt to rank the best performances based on speed figures and ratings.

Following the completion of this year's Breeders' Cup, I pulled the Beyer, Bris and Equibase Speed Figures for each winner*, along with the Racing Post Ratings from the UK. I've arranged the data into three different tables for visual purposes: an summary and ranking of all Breeders' Cup race (regardless of surface), a ranking of all dirt races, and a ranking of all turf races. The numbers don't change that much from each table but I think the different surfaces probably need to be pulled apart even though "in theory" a figure on dirt is comparable to a figure on turf. The fact remains that turf racing is (typically) fundamentally different than racing on dirt.

*The data includes all stakes races at Santa Anita on Friday and Saturday, including the non-Breeders' Cup races.

Race Surf. Winner Beyer BSF Rank Bris Bris Rank Equibase Equibase Rank RPR RPR Rank Avg. Rank
G1-BC Classic D Fort Larned 117 1 117 1 121 2 128 1 1.25
G1-BC Filly & Mare Sprint D Groupie Doll 108 2 112 2 120 3 121 5 3.00
G1-BC Mile T Wise Dan 107 5 108 5 128 1 127 2 3.25
G1-BC Sprint D Trinniberg 108 2 111 3 114 6 123 3 3.50
G1-BC Ladies' Classic D Royal Delta 108 2 107 6 113 7 123 3 4.50
G1-BC Turf T Little Mike 105 6 106 7 118 4 121 5 5.50
G1-BC Dirt Mile D Tapizar 104 7 106 7 109 11 118 7 8.00
G2-BC Marathon D Calidoscopio (ARG) 99 8 106 7 116 5 111 12 8.00
Damascus Stakes D Politicallycorrect 99 8 111 3 111 8 110 14 8.25
G1-BC Turf Sprint T Mizdirection 98 11 100 11 110 9 111 12 10.75
G1-BC Filly & Mare Turf T Zagora (FR) 99 8 98 13 107 13 116 10 11.00
G1-BC Juv Fillies D Beholder 95 12 99 12 101 14 116 10 12.00
G2-Twilight Derby T Grandeur (IRE) 89 14 101 10 110 9 108 16 12.25
G1-BC Juv Turf T George Vancouver 87 15 98 13 108 12 117 9 12.25
BC Juv Sprint D Hightail 90 13 97 15 98 16 107 17 15.25
G1-BC Juvenile D Shanghai Bobby 82 18 92 18 85 19 118 7 15.50
BC Juv Turf Sprint Preview T Gabriel Charles 86 16 95 16 100 15 105 18 16.25
G1-BC Juvenile Fillies Turf T Flotilla (FR) 84 17 84 19 96 17 110 14 16.75
BC Juv Filly Sprint Preview D Unusual Way 74 19 93 17 88 18 100 19 18.25

Looking first at the overall numbers, Fort Larned's victory in the Classic ranks as the best performance of the weekend from Beyer, Bris and the Racing Post, with Equibase ranking that race second best to Wise Dan's victory in the Mile.

Groupie Doll's Filly & Mare Sprint victory edges Wise Dan's Mile as the second best performance, ranking as the second best figure from Beyer and Bris, the third best from Equibase and, somewhat surprisingly, the fifth best rating from the Racing Post.

The juvenile races all came back at the bottom of the rankings with Beholder's victory in the Juvenile Fillies as the best juvenile race of the weekend, according to this analysis.

Turning to the races by each surface (which you can find in the tables below), take note that the Racing Post is more bullish on the performance of George Vancouver than any of the speed figure systems. The Racing Post has the Juvenile Turf as the third best turf performance of the weekend (trailing only Wise Dan and Little Mike), while speed figures place the same race behind Mizdirection, Zagora (FR) and Grandeur (IRE).

Race Surf. Winner Beyer BSF Rank Bris Bris Rank Equibase Equibase Rank RPR RPR Rank Avg. Rank
G1-BC Classic D Fort Larned 117 1 117 1 121 1 128 1 1.00
G1-BC Filly & Mare Sprint D Groupie Doll 108 2 112 2 120 2 121 4 2.50
G1-BC Sprint D Trinniberg 108 2 111 3 114 4 123 2 2.75
G1-BC Ladies' Classic D Royal Delta 108 2 107 5 113 5 123 2 3.50
G1-BC Dirt Mile D Tapizar 104 5 106 6 109 7 118 5 5.75
G2-BC Marathon D Calidoscopio (ARG) 99 6 106 6 116 3 111 8 5.75
Damascus Stakes D Politicallycorrect 99 6 111 3 111 6 110 9 6.00
G1-BC Juvenile Fillies D Beholder 95 8 99 8 101 8 116 7 7.75
G1-BC Juvenile D Shanghai Bobby 82 10 92 11 85 11 118 5 9.25
BC Juvenile Sprint D Hightail 90 9 97 9 98 9 107 10 9.25
BC Juvenile Filly Sprint Preview D Unusual Way 74 11 93 10 88 10 100 11 10.50

Race Surf. Winner Beyer BSF Rank Bris Bris Rank Equibase Equibase Rank RPR RPR Rank Avg. Rank
G1-BC Mile T Wise Dan 107 1 108 1 128 1 127 1 1.00
G1-BC Turf T Little Mike 105 2 106 2 118 2 121 2 2.00
G1-BC Turf Sprint T Mizdirection 98 4 100 4 110 3 111 5 4.00
G1-BC Filly & Mare Turf T Zagora (FR) 99 3 98 5 107 6 116 4 4.50
G2-Twilight Derby T Grandeur (IRE) 89 5 101 3 110 3 108 7 4.50
G1-BC Juvenile Turf T George Vancouver 87 6 98 5 108 5 117 3 4.75
BC Juvenile Turf Sprint Preview T Gabriel Charles 86 7 95 7 100 7 105 8 7.25
G1-BC Juvenile Fillies Turf T Flotilla (FR) 84 8 84 8 96 8 110 6 7.50

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