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2010 Breeders' Cup: Classic Future Odds (8/26)

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LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 29:  Kentucky Derby entrant Lookin at Lucky is groomed in advance of the 136th running of the Kentucky Derby on April 29, 2010 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 29: Kentucky Derby entrant Lookin at Lucky is groomed in advance of the 136th running of the Kentucky Derby on April 29, 2010 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
Getty Images

The Wynn Las Vegas released an updated Breeders' Cup future odds list last week but I .  Here's a quick summary of the future odds for the Classic as compared to the last update from a month ago.

Rank

Horse

Open

Last

Current

1

Zenyatta

14/1

7/2

7/2

2

Quality Road

10/1

4/1

4/1

3

Rachel Alexandra

5/1

5/1

5/1

4

Blame

20/1

10/1

6/1

5

Lookin At Lucky

15/1

10/1

7/1

6

Gio Ponti

12/1

14/1

15/1

Rail Trip

60/1

20/1

15/1

7

Fame And Glory

40/1

18/1

18/1

8

Misremembered

22/1

15/1

20/1

Awesome Gem

50/1

20/1

20/1

Dublin

60/1

20/1

20/1

Others

Ice Box

75/1

22/1

25/1

Fly Down

60/1

25/1

30/1

Super Saver

100/1

30/1

30/1

First Dude

100/1

30/1

30/1

I Want Revenge

30/1

30/1

30/1

Trappe Shot

50/1

40/1

30/1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

We haven't seen any major shifts in the future wagering for the Classic in the last month; Blame took a bit of a price cut following his defeat of Quality Road in the Whitney and Lookin At Lucky's Haskell win put him firmly into the Top 5 in terms of betting, but the rest of the action was fairly stable. 

I wanted to see how the bookmakers in North America viewed the Classic compared to those in Europe.  Below the jump you'll find a chart that compares the current Wynn odds to those from PaddyPower.com and Bet365.com. 

Horse

Wynn

Paddy

Bet365

Zenyatta

7/2

7/2

4/1

Quality Road

4/1

8/1

6/1

Rachel Alexandra

5/1

7/1

7/1

Blame

6/1

6/1

5/1

Lookin At Lucky

7/1

4/1

4/1

Gio Ponti

15/1

n/a

n/a

Rail Trip

15/1

16/1

20/1

Fame And Glory

18/1

16/1

16/1

Misremembered

20/1

20/1

25/1

Awesome Gem

20/1

33/1

33/1

Dublin

20/1

n/a

n/a

A Little Warm

25/1

n/a

33/1

Ice Box

25/1

33/1

33/1

Twice Over

25/1

16/1

12/1

Fly Down

30/1

33/1

33/1

Super Saver

30/1

20/1

20/1

First Dude

30/1

33/1

40/1

I Want Revenge

30/1

n/a

n/a

Trappe Shot

30/1

20/1

20/1

Gitano Hernando

30/1

16/1

25/1

Rip Van Winkle

30/1

12/1

8/1

Mine That Bird

40/1

25/1

25/1

Espoir city

50/1

14/1

20/1

Byword

n/a

16/1

16/1

Battle Plan

n/a

16/1

20/1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A few thoughts on the overseas betting markets:

  • As is illustrated by the chart, the overseas bookmakers view Zenyatta as the betting favorite but have Lookin At Lucky, instead of Quality Road, as the clear #2 choice.  They've pegged Blame at the same odds as the Wynn but have both Quality Road and Rachel Alexandra as bigger prices on the board than here in the U.S.
  • One glaring difference between Vegas and the overseas bookmakers is with Juddmonte winner Rip Van Winkle.  The Wynn has pegged Rip at 30/1 while PaddyPower (12/1) and Bet365 (8/1) have him at a much lower number, suggesting that he has taken quite a bit of action in their markets.
  • One other glaring difference in markets: Gio Ponti sits as the 6th choice in Vegas but isn't even a consideration on the overseas board.  The overseas markets make more sense to me in this situation as it seems doubtful that Gio Ponti will even run in the Classic.