The future odds for this year's Breeders' Cup Classic have stabilized quite a bit in the last month or so. Unless one of the top contenders were to stumble badly in their final prep races it is unlikely we'll see much movement on the future lines over the next four to six weeks. How the betting public will evaluate this horses on Breeders' Cup weekend remains to be seen, but I think the future odds give us a decent ind ication as to which way things may shake out on race day.
Below is a comparison of the current future odds for the Breeders' Cup Classic between the Wynn Las Vegas and the international bookmakers of Paddy Power and Bet365.
|
Horse |
|||
|
Zenyatta |
3/1 |
4/1 |
7/2 |
|
Quality Road |
4/1 |
6/1 |
6/1 |
|
Lookin At Lucky |
9/2 |
4/1 |
9/2 |
|
Blame |
5/1 |
5/1 |
6/1 |
|
Espoir City |
6/1 |
14/1 |
16/1 |
|
Rachel Alexandra |
12/1 |
12/1 |
12/1 |
|
Twice Over |
15/1 |
20/1 |
14/1 |
|
Fly Down |
15/1 |
16/1 |
16/1 |
|
Rip Van Winkle |
16/1 |
20/1 |
12/1 |
|
Rail Trip |
18/1 |
16/1 |
20/1 |
|
Fame And Glory |
20/1 |
16/1 |
16/1 |
|
Misremembered |
20/1 |
20/1 |
20/1 |
|
Awesome Gem |
30/1 |
33/1 |
40/1 |
|
Ice Box |
30/1 |
33/1 |
33/1 |
|
First Dude |
30/1 |
33/1 |
40/1 |
|
Gitano Hernando |
30/1 |
25/1 |
25/1 |
|
A Little Warm |
35/1 |
33/1 |
50/1 |
|
Trappe Shot |
40/1 |
20/1 |
25/1 |
|
Mine That Bird |
60/1 |
25/1 |
33/1 |
|
Super Saver |
n/a |
25/1 |
25/1 |
|
Byword |
n/a |
20/1 |
16/1 |
|
|
Some thoughts on these lines below the jump
-The line for the Japanese Espoir City has moved dramatically in the U.S. in relation to the international betting markets (6/1 vs. 14/1 or 16/1). Somebody, or a group of somebodies, has thrown a lot of money in this colt's direction in the last month to move the line like that.
-The American markets have ignored Byword up to this point while he's taken a good amount of action at Paddy Power and Bet365. Byword won the Group 1 Prince of Wales's Stakes at Royal Ascot in June.
-The top four contenders are pretty much the same across all the betting markets. Paddy Power will give you the best odds on Zenyatta (4/1), but the lowest on Looking at Lucky (4/1).
-Travers winners Afleet Express is 18/1 at the Wynn but is not currently listed on the Paddy Power or Bet365 odds that I found.
-Two of the top three year olds that are not included on this table, Sidney's Candy and Twirling Candy, are being offered by the Wynn at odds of 75/1 and 30/1 for the Classic.
-Does anyone see anything they really like or dislike on these odds lines? Anything seem out of kilter to you or is there a price that you'd love to see on your horses come race day?
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