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Alpha: Things That Make You Go "Hmm"

A comparison of Alpha's New York vs. non-New York races. It ain't pretty.

A comparison of Alpha's New York vs. non-New York races by finishing position and Beyer Speed Figures. Races listed in chronological order (oldest first):

New York Non-New York
Track Finish BSF Track Finish BSF
SAR 1st 84 CD 11th 61
BEL 2nd 82 CD 12th 73
AQU 1st 86 PRX 6th 86
AQU 1st 92
AQU 2nd 98
SAR 1st 96
SAR 1st 100

I have no explanation for the discrepancy between Alpha's New York and non-New York races. Prior to yesterday, I chalked it up to Alpha just not taking to the Churchill Downs track. After his flop in the Penn Derby (and I really don't have another word for it)... well, I just don't know.

Now, to be fair, we're talking about a limited sample of races and the two Churchill races came against big fields where it's not unusual for a horse to toss in a clunker. The Parx race yesterday - perhaps he just hated Parx, I don't know. But at this point, if you're thinking about the Breeders' Cup Classic, would anyone take Alpha a odds under 10/1, or maybe even 20/1, given his abysmal record outside of New York? He's a toss for me at this point.